Trump Vs Harris: Are there chances alive for Kamala Harris, what is the Electoral College voting to be held in December?

Donald Trump is expected to get more than 300 electoral colleges in the US presidential election. It is expected because the results that have come so far are of the popular vote. Popular vote means the votes of the public. The electoral college voting is to be held in December and the results will be officially announced on January 6.

Therefore, questions are being raised whether Kamala Harris still has a chance to get a majority of electors? Is there still a possibility of a reversal in the US presidential election? Does Kamala Harris have one last chance left? But she is far behind in the popular vote, so how can this happen?

When Trump won even after losing the popular vote!

It has happened many times that a candidate wins the majority of the Electoral College even after losing the popular vote. Recently, Donald Trump achieved this feat in the 2016 presidential election, he got about 30 lakh votes less than his rival Hillary Clinton but he won the presidential election. So should it be believed that Kamala Harris can also repeat this feat? To know the answer to this question, you will have to understand the Electoral College better.

The Electoral College is a group of electors determined for each state of America. These electors are representatives of the candidates for the US presidential election. When the American public votes in the election, they are not directly choosing the candidate but a group of these electors.

About a month after the public voting, in December, the group of these electors i.e. the Electoral College casts its votes and in this way the next President of America is elected.

The number of electors is proportional to the number of members present in the Senate and House of Representatives of a state. The total number of electors from the 50 states of America and Washington DC is 538. Therefore, to become the President, any candidate has to get the support of 270 electors.

Now the question arises that if the electors will vote in December then why is Trump's victory being claimed?

Then why claim Trump's victory in the election?

In fact, except for two states of America, Maine and Nebraska, all states have the same rule regarding electors. If a candidate wins the popular vote of a state, then all the electors of that candidate's party are selected in that state. This is called the 'winner-take-all' method. But in Maine and Nebraska, electors are selected on the basis of the ratio of popular votes.

For example, Nebraska has 5 electoral colleges, out of which Trump has won 4 and one has gone to Kamala Harris. Similarly, Maine has 4 electoral colleges, out of which Harris has won 3 and one has gone to Trump.

Trump's victory is being claimed on the basis of votes received by the Republican and Democratic parties in the remaining states. Results of 5 out of 7 swing states which are considered decisive for the results have come, Trump has won in all these 5 swing states, with this victory Trump is expected to get a total of 76 electoral colleges. At the same time, there is a possibility of Trump's victory in the 2 swing states whose results have not come, that is, Trump will have 93 electoral colleges of total 7 swing states.

If the results of Maine and Nebraska are excluded, Donald Trump has won 27 out of 48 states and is leading in 2 states. Kamala Harris has won 19 states. Apart from this, she has also won in Washington DC which has 3 electoral votes.

Based on the victory of popular votes in all these states, it has been estimated that Donald Trump may get 312 and Kamala Harris may get 226 electoral votes in the electoral elections to be held in December.

Could there be a reversal in electoral voting?

Technically, electors can vote against the popular vote because there is no constitutional or federal law regarding the voting of electors in America. However, some states have made a rule that the electors of their state will have to vote only on the basis of the results of the popular vote. At the same time, political parties have also made similar rules for their electors.

Those who vote against the rules are called 'faithless electors'. Electors who vote against the popular vote can be prosecuted. They can be fined, disqualified from voting and replaced with a substitute elector.

In 2020, the US Supreme Court gave the states the right to make their own laws regarding the voting of electors. In the history of US presidential elections, no criminal law has been implemented against any elector for voting against the rules. However, in 2016, when many electors voted against the popular vote, they were fined and declared disqualified and replaced with alternate electors.

So far in the history of America, 99 percent of the electors have voted in the Electoral College voting on the basis of the promise given to their party, hence there is very little possibility of a reversal in the voting to be held in December.