Great news for farmers and the economy! The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its 2025 monsoon forecast, predicting that the country is likely to witness above-normal rainfall during the four-month monsoon season from June to September.

📅 Monsoon Duration

According to M. Ravichandran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, total rainfall could reach 105% of the long-term average of 87 cm. The southwest monsoon officially spans June 1 to September 30.

📊 IMD's Probability Forecast

As per IMD Director-General Mrutyunjay Mahapatra, the monsoon probabilities are as follows:

• 30% chance of normal rainfall (96–104% of LPA)

• 33% chance of above-normal rainfall (105–110% of LPA)

• 26% chance of excess rainfall (above 110% of LPA)

📍 States Likely to Receive Heavy Rainfall

States likely to experience normal to above-normal rainfall include:

• Madhya Pradesh

• Rajasthan

• Maharashtra (especially Marathwada)

• Odisha

• Chhattisgarh

• Uttar Pradesh

• West Bengal

• Parts of Telangana

📍 Areas with Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast

Some regions may experience below-average rainfall, such as:

• Tamil Nadu

• Bihar

• Jammu & Kashmir

• Ladakh

• Northeastern states (like Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, etc.)

🌱 Why This Matters

This forecast brings relief for the agricultural sector, especially for regions that were drought-prone in the past. Higher rainfall means better crop yield, increased groundwater recharge, and improved rural income—a major boost for the economy.